Jacksonville St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#317
Pace68.6#187
Improvement-1.0#218

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#295
First Shot-5.2#317
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks+1.2#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#274
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement+0.5#153

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#234
First Shot-2.8#276
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#98
Layups/Dunks-1.4#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows+0.8#130
Improvement-1.5#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 411 - 1011 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 86   @ SMU L 65-74 8%     0 - 1 +0.2 -5.9 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2019 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-93 7%     0 - 2 -17.8 -8.0 -6.8
  Nov 23, 2019 24   @ Purdue L 49-81 3%     0 - 3 -15.9 -10.0 -8.7
  Nov 29, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 71-62 93%     1 - 3 -14.1 -16.1 +1.8
  Nov 30, 2019 143   Chattanooga L 60-63 22%     1 - 4 -1.5 -8.1 +6.3
  Dec 03, 2019 169   @ George Mason L 60-67 18%     1 - 5 -3.9 -7.7 +3.5
  Dec 07, 2019 344   @ Alabama A&M L 62-67 OT 71%     1 - 6 -17.3 -19.4 +2.6
  Dec 11, 2019 292   Troy L 55-60 65%     1 - 7 -15.5 -17.6 +1.7
  Dec 16, 2019 279   Evansville W 85-59 62%     2 - 7 +16.4 +8.0 +8.5
  Dec 18, 2019 347   Delaware St. W 92-80 89%     3 - 7 -7.7 +0.2 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2019 61   @ Tennessee L 53-75 6%     3 - 8 -10.7 -12.4 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2020 316   @ Morehead St. W 76-72 49%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -2.2 +0.0 -2.1
  Jan 04, 2020 273   @ Eastern Kentucky W 80-71 38%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +5.8 +3.6 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2020 130   Murray St. L 68-72 28%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -4.6 -7.8 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2020 172   Austin Peay L 67-71 37%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -7.1 -7.6 +0.3
  Jan 16, 2020 238   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-70 31%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -2.2 -2.3 +0.0
  Jan 18, 2020 330   @ SIU Edwardsville W 64-56 58%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -0.5 -12.8 +12.3
  Jan 23, 2020 273   Eastern Kentucky L 77-81 61%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -13.3 +0.9 -14.2
  Jan 25, 2020 316   Morehead St. W 72-51 71%     7 - 12 4 - 4 +8.8 -5.9 +14.8
  Jan 30, 2020 262   Tennessee St. L 62-72 59%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -18.9 -16.0 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2020 108   Belmont L 64-78 23%     7 - 14 4 - 6 -12.6 -8.5 -4.2
  Feb 06, 2020 340   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-76 61%     7 - 15 4 - 7 -13.4 -10.8 -2.4
  Feb 08, 2020 333   @ Tennessee Martin W 75-61 59%     8 - 15 5 - 7 +5.2 -2.9 +9.4
  Feb 13, 2020 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 74-75 55%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -8.9 +0.0 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2020 108   @ Belmont L 84-101 10%     8 - 17 5 - 9 -9.5 +9.6 -18.1
  Feb 20, 2020 340   Southeast Missouri St. W 65-58 80%     9 - 17 6 - 9 -8.5 -10.8 +2.9
  Feb 22, 2020 333   Tennessee Martin W 72-58 79%     10 - 17 7 - 9 -0.8 -9.8 +10.1
  Feb 27, 2020 262   @ Tennessee St. L 55-65 36%     10 - 18 7 - 10 -12.9 -14.8 +1.4
  Feb 29, 2020 325   Tennessee Tech W 75-71 76%     11 - 18 8 - 10 -9.9 +4.6 -14.1
  Mar 04, 2020 238   Eastern Illinois L 61-67 41%     11 - 19 -10.2 -10.1 -0.5
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%